Treatment outcome and its predictors among patients of acute heart failure at a tertiary care hospital in Ethiopia: a prospective observational study

BMC Cardiovasc Disord. 2020 Jan 20;20(1):16. doi: 10.1186/s12872-019-01318-x.

Abstract

Background: Acute heart failure is a rapid onset of new or worsening of signs and symptoms of heart failure that requires hospitalization or a visit to the emergency department. The aim of this study was to evaluate treatment outcome and determine factors that predict a poor treatment outcome in acute heart failure patients at a Tertiary Care Hospital in Ethiopia.

Methods: A prospective observational study design was used. Data were collected using a structured questionnaire as a tool. Outcome variables were assessed at the time of discharge from the hospital. Bivariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were used to determine factors that predict in-hospital mortality. A p-value ≤0.05 was considered as statistically significant.

Results: Out of the 169 patients, the median age of patients with acute heart failure was 34 years (IQR = 23 to 50) and median hospital stay was 4.0 days (IQR = 3.0 to 6.0). The leading precipitating factor and underlying disease at the time of admission were pneumonia (47.5%) and chronic rheumatic heart disease (48.5%), respectively. The in-hospital mortality was found to be 17.2%. Smoking (adjusted odds ratio (AOR) = 8.7, p = 0.006), diabetes mellitus (AOR = 10.2, p = 0.005), pulmonary hypertension (AOR = 4.3, p = 0.016), and the presence of adverse drug events (AOR = 4.2, p = 0.003) were predictors of in-hospital mortality.

Conclusion: High in-hospital mortality was observed among acute heart failure patients admitted to a Tertiary Care Hospital in Ethiopia. Smoking, diabetes mellitus, pulmonary hypertension and the presence of adverse drug events were predictors of in-hospital mortality.

Keywords: Acute heart failure; Ethiopia; In-hospital mortality; Predictor of mortality.

Publication types

  • Observational Study
  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Acute Disease
  • Adult
  • Diabetes Mellitus / mortality
  • Drug-Related Side Effects and Adverse Reactions / mortality
  • Ethiopia
  • Female
  • Heart Failure / diagnosis
  • Heart Failure / mortality*
  • Heart Failure / physiopathology
  • Heart Failure / therapy*
  • Hospital Mortality*
  • Humans
  • Hypertension, Pulmonary / mortality
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Patient Discharge
  • Prospective Studies
  • Risk Assessment
  • Risk Factors
  • Smoking / adverse effects
  • Smoking / mortality
  • Tertiary Care Centers*
  • Time Factors
  • Treatment Outcome
  • Young Adult