Is 'likely pathogenic' really 90% likely? Reclassification data in ClinVar

Genome Med. 2019 Nov 21;11(1):72. doi: 10.1186/s13073-019-0688-9.

Abstract

In 2015, professional guidelines defined the term 'likely pathogenic' to mean with a 90% chance of pathogenicity. To determine whether current practice reflects this definition, ClinVar classifications were tracked from 2016 to 2019. During that period, between 83.8 and 99.1% of likely pathogenic classifications were reclassified as pathogenic, depending on whether LP to VUS reclassifications are included and on how these classifications are categorized.

Publication types

  • Research Support, N.I.H., Extramural

MeSH terms

  • Genetic Association Studies / methods*
  • Genetic Predisposition to Disease*
  • Genetic Testing* / methods
  • Humans
  • Practice Guidelines as Topic