Background: Endoscopic ultrasound-guided fine-needle aspiration fails to diagnose up to 25% of patients with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC). Proteomics can help to overcome this clinical dilemma. We hypothesized that soluble protein signatures can differentiate PDAC from benign tissues.
Study design: Tissues were obtained from resected surgical specimens, lysed, and homogenates collected for analysis with a 41-protein multiplex assay. Analyte concentrations were normalized to total protein. Statistical analysis was performed to evaluate for differences in PDAC vs benign tissue.
Results: Tissues were obtained from 159 patients, 82 patients with PDAC naïve to therapy and 77 with benign pancreatic pathology. Fourteen analytes had a receiver operating characteristic curve area of >0.75 for predicting PDAC vs benign tissue. A recursive partitioning model using only 2 analytes, interleukin 1 receptor antagonist and transforming growth factor-α, provided an accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity of 91.2%, 90.2%, and 92.2%, respectively. A penalized logistic regression model found 12 analytes that provide diagnostic value to a protein signature. The mean area under the receiver operating characteristic after 50 tenfold cross-validations was 0.951. Accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity of this model were 91.2%, 87.8%, and 94.8%, respectively. Applying the scenario of 80% disease prevalence in patients undergoing endoscopic ultrasound with fine-needle aspiration for a pancreatic head mass, positive predictive value is 98.5% (95% CI 93.0% to 99.7%) and negative predictive value is 66.0% (95% CI 54.9% to 75.6%).
Conclusions: Protein signatures from pancreatic specimens can differentiate PDAC from benign tissue. Additional work to validate these findings in a unique sample set is warranted.
Copyright © 2019 American College of Surgeons. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.