A Gene Expression-based Model to Predict Metabolic Response After Two Courses of ABVD in Hodgkin Lymphoma Patients

Clin Cancer Res. 2020 Jan 15;26(2):373-383. doi: 10.1158/1078-0432.CCR-19-2356. Epub 2019 Oct 23.

Abstract

Purpose: Early response to ABVD, assessed with interim FDG-PET (iPET), is prognostic for classical Hodgkin lymphoma (cHL) and supports the use of response adapted therapy. The aim of this study was to identify a gene-expression profile on diagnostic biopsy to predict iPET positivity (iPET+).

Experimental design: Consecutive untreated patients with stage I-IV cHL who underwent iPET after two cycles of ABVD were identified. Expression of 770 immune-related genes was analyzed by digital expression profiling (NanoString Technology). iPET was centrally reviewed according to the five-point Deauville scale (DS 1-5). An iPET+ predictive model was derived by multivariate regression analysis and assessed in a validation set identified using the same inclusion criteria.

Results: A training set of 121 and a validation set of 117 patients were identified, with 23 iPET+ cases in each group. Sixty-three (52.1%), 19 (15.7%), and 39 (32.2%) patients had stage I-II, III, and IV, respectively. Diagnostic biopsy of iPET+ cHLs showed transcriptional profile distinct from iPET-. Thirteen genes were stringently associated with iPET+. This signature comprises two functionally stromal-related nodes. Lymphocytes/monocytes ratio (LMR) was also associated to iPET+. In the training cohort a 5-gene/LMR integrated score predicted iPET+ [AUC, 0.88; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.80-0.96]. The score achieved a 100% sensitivity to identify DS5 cases. Model performance was confirmed in the validation set (AUC, 0.68; 95% CI, 0.52-0.84). Finally, iPET score was higher in patients with event versus those without.

Conclusions: In cHL, iPET is associated with a genetic signature and can be predicted by applying an integrated gene-based model on the diagnostic biopsy.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Adult
  • Antineoplastic Combined Chemotherapy Protocols / therapeutic use*
  • Biomarkers, Tumor / genetics*
  • Biomarkers, Tumor / metabolism
  • Bleomycin / administration & dosage
  • Cohort Studies
  • Dacarbazine / administration & dosage
  • Doxorubicin / administration & dosage
  • Female
  • Fluorodeoxyglucose F18 / metabolism*
  • Hodgkin Disease / diagnostic imaging
  • Hodgkin Disease / drug therapy
  • Hodgkin Disease / metabolism*
  • Hodgkin Disease / pathology
  • Humans
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Positron-Emission Tomography / methods*
  • Prognosis
  • ROC Curve
  • Radiopharmaceuticals / metabolism
  • Transcriptome*
  • Vinblastine / administration & dosage

Substances

  • Biomarkers, Tumor
  • Radiopharmaceuticals
  • Fluorodeoxyglucose F18
  • Bleomycin
  • Vinblastine
  • Dacarbazine
  • Doxorubicin