What is the best culture conversion prognostic marker for patients treated for multidrug-resistant tuberculosis?

Int J Tuberc Lung Dis. 2019 Oct 1;23(10):1060-1067. doi: 10.5588/ijtld.18.0649.

Abstract

INTRODUCTION: Identification of good prognostic marker for tuberculosis (TB) treatment response is a necessary step on the path towards a surrogate marker to reduce TB trial duration.METHODS: We performed a retrospective analysis on routinely collected data in 6 drug-resistant TB (DRTB) programs. Culture conversion, defined as two consecutive negative cultures, was assessed, and performance of culture conversion at Month 2 and Month 6 to predict treatment success were explored. To explore factors associated with positive predicted value (PPV) and the specificity of culture conversion, a multinomial logistic regression was fitted.RESULTS: This study included 634 patients: 68.5% were males; the median age was 35 years, 75.2% were previously treated for TB, 59.4% were resistant only to isoniazid and rifampicin and 18.1% resistant to fluoroquinolones. Culture conversion at Month 2 and 6 showed similar PPV while specificity was much higher for culture conversion at Month 2: 91.3% (95%CI 86.1-95.1). PPV of culture conversion at Month 2 did not vary strongly according to patients' characteristics, while specificity was slightly higher among patients with fluoroquinolone-resistant strains.CONCLUSION: Culture conversion at Month 2 is an acceptable prognostic marker for MDR-TB treatment. Considering the advantage of using an earlier marker, further evaluation as a surrogate marker is warranted to shorten TB trials.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Adult
  • Antitubercular Agents / administration & dosage*
  • Biomarkers / metabolism
  • Female
  • Humans
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Mycobacterium tuberculosis / isolation & purification*
  • Predictive Value of Tests
  • Prognosis
  • Retrospective Studies
  • Sensitivity and Specificity
  • Sputum / microbiology*
  • Treatment Outcome
  • Tuberculosis, Multidrug-Resistant / diagnosis*
  • Tuberculosis, Multidrug-Resistant / drug therapy

Substances

  • Antitubercular Agents
  • Biomarkers