Bayesian Hierarchical Models for Meta-Analysis of Quality-of-Life Outcomes: An Application in Multimorbidity

Pharmacoeconomics. 2020 Jan;38(1):85-95. doi: 10.1007/s40273-019-00843-z.

Abstract

Background: Health-related quality of life (HRQoL) is a key outcome in cost-utility analyses, which are commonly used to inform healthcare decisions. Different instruments exist to evaluate HRQoL, however while some jurisdictions have a preferred system, no gold standard exists. Standard meta-analysis struggles with the variety of outcome measures, which may result in the exclusion of potentially relevant evidence.

Objective: Using a case study in multimorbidity, the objective of this analysis is to illustrate how a Bayesian hierarchical model can be used to combine data across different instruments. The outcome of interest is the slope relating HRQoL to the number of coexisting conditions.

Methods: We propose a three-level Bayesian hierarchical model to systematically include a large number of studies evaluating HRQoL using multiple instruments. Random effects assumptions yield instrument-level estimates benefitting from borrowing strength across the evidence base. This is particularly useful where little evidence is available for the outcome of choice for further evaluation.

Results: Our analysis estimated a reduction in quality of life of 3.8-4.1% per additional condition depending on HRQoL instrument. Uncertainty was reduced by approximately 80% for the instrument with the least evidence.

Conclusion: Bayesian hierarchical models may provide a useful modelling approach to systematically synthesize data from HRQoL studies.

MeSH terms

  • Bayes Theorem
  • Cost-Benefit Analysis* / statistics & numerical data
  • Humans
  • Meta-Analysis as Topic*
  • Models, Statistical*
  • Multimorbidity*
  • Outcome Assessment, Health Care
  • Quality of Life*
  • Uncertainty