Clustering suicides: A data-driven, exploratory machine learning approach

Eur Psychiatry. 2019 Oct:62:15-19. doi: 10.1016/j.eurpsy.2019.08.009. Epub 2019 Sep 7.

Abstract

Methods of suicide have received considerable attention in suicide research. The common approach to differentiate methods of suicide is the classification into "violent" versus "non-violent" method. Interestingly, since the proposition of this dichotomous differentiation, no further efforts have been made to question the validity of such a classification of suicides. This study aimed to challenge the traditional separation into "violent" and "non-violent" suicides by generating a cluster analysis with a data-driven, machine learning approach. In a retrospective analysis, data on all officially confirmed suicides (N = 77,894) in Austria between 1970 and 2016 were assessed. Based on a defined distance metric between distributions of suicides over age group and month of the year, a standard hierarchical clustering method was performed with the five most frequent suicide methods. In cluster analysis, poisoning emerged as distinct from all other methods - both in the entire sample as well as in the male subsample. Violent suicides could be further divided into sub-clusters: hanging, shooting, and drowning on the one hand and jumping on the other hand. In the female sample, two different clusters were revealed - hanging and drowning on the one hand and jumping, poisoning, and shooting on the other. Our data-driven results in this large epidemiological study confirmed the traditional dichotomization of suicide methods into "violent" and "non-violent" methods, but on closer inspection "violent methods" can be further divided into sub-clusters and a different cluster pattern could be identified for women, requiring further research to support these refined suicide phenotypes.

Keywords: Cluster analysis; Machine-learning; Suicide; Suicide methods; Violent suicide.

MeSH terms

  • Adult
  • Austria
  • Cluster Analysis
  • Female
  • Humans
  • Machine Learning*
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Retrospective Studies
  • Suicide / statistics & numerical data*
  • Violence / statistics & numerical data*
  • Young Adult