Impact of environmental tax on green development: A nonlinear dynamical system analysis

PLoS One. 2019 Sep 4;14(9):e0221264. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0221264. eCollection 2019.

Abstract

With green development becoming a global movement, environmental tax has been adopted by many governments to promote green development. This study analyzes the impact of environmental tax on green development by using a four-dimension dynamical system. The establishment of the system is based on the complex and dynamic interactions among economic development, pollution emissions, resources consumption, and environmental tax, where roles of environmental tax are reflected by the linear parameters. A theoretic analysis shows the complexity of the behavior of the system. Mainly, the existence of chaos is inferred by Lyapunov exponent spectrum and bifurcation diagram, then verified by the presence of a chaotic attractor. An empirical study of the green development dynamical system in China demonstrates the particular evolution paths of economic growth, pollution intensity, and resource intensity under different environmental tax parameters. Results indicate a robust beneficial role of environmental tax on green development. Furthermore, when an environmental tax is imposed, a firm government control, an active consumer awareness, an advanced technology level can stimulate economic growth, decrease pollution intensity, and control the resource intensity. But the government control has a stronger effect. This study provides a viable and promising approach to analyze the role of imposing an environmental tax on green development and may have potential application in other areas and countries.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Algorithms
  • China
  • Economic Development
  • Environmental Pollution / economics*
  • Taxes*

Grants and funding

This research is supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 71673116) to XF, Natural Science Foundation of Jiangsu Province (No. SBK2015021674) to JY, and the Humanistic and Social Science Foundation from Ministry of Education of China (Grant 16YJAZH007) to XF. The funders had no role in study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript.