Introduction: Early prognostic markers that identify high‑risk kidney transplant recipients may lead to optimization of immunosuppressive therapy and improved long‑term outcomes.
Objectives: The aim of this study was to assess whether the measurement of urinary concentrations of CCL2 and CXCL10 chemokines can be a valuable noninvasive tool for identifying ongoing pathological processes in a kidney allograft.
Patients and methods: The study included 40 patients who underwent a protocol biopsy within 1‑year post kidney transplant. The urinary concentrations of CCL2 and CXCL10 with reference to creatinine in urine were assayed in all patients. On the basis of biopsy results, a study group was selected (n = 25), including patients with a diagnosis of interstitial fibrosis and tubular atrophy grades II to III (n = 16), BK virus (BKV) nephropathy (n = 4), or mild inflammatory lesions fulfilling the criteria for mild rejection processes or borderline lesions (n = 11). Patients with normal biopsy results were included in a control group (n = 15).
Results: The ratio of CCL2 to creatinine (CCL2:Cr) was a significant independent predictor of BKV ephropathy (odds ratio, 1.1; 95% CI, 1.0-1.2; P = 0.04). The CXCL10:Cr ratio was not found to be an independent predictor of BKV nephropathy (odds ratio, 1.3; 95% CI, 0.99-1.71; P = 0.06).
Conclusions: The CCL2:Cr and CXCL10:Cr ratios may predict BKV nephropathy. The diagnostic value of CCL2 and CXCL10 in BKV infection should be further evaluated.