Modeling Public Health Campaigns for Sexually Transmitted Infections via Optimal and Feedback Control

Bull Math Biol. 2019 Oct;81(10):4100-4123. doi: 10.1007/s11538-019-00642-9. Epub 2019 Jul 13.

Abstract

Control of sexually transmitted infections (STIs) poses important challenges to public health authorities. Obstacles for STIs' control include low priority in public health programs and disease transmission mechanisms. This work uses a compartmental pair model to explore different public health strategies on the evolution of STIs. Optimal control and feedback control are used to model realistic strategies for reducing the prevalence of these infections. Feedback control is proposed to model the reaction of public health authorities relative to an alert level. Optimal control is used to model the optimization of available resources for implementing strategies. Numerical simulations are performed using trichomoniasis, gonorrhea, chlamydia and human papillomavirus (HPV) as study cases. HPV is non-curable, and it is analyzed only under transmission control such as condom promotion campaigns. Trichomoniasis, gonorrhea and chlamydia are curable STIs that are modeled here additionally under treatment control. Increased cost-effectiveness ratio is employed as a criterion to measure control strategies performance. The features and drawbacks of control strategies under the pair formation process are discussed.

Keywords: Feedback control; Optimal control; Pair model; Sexually transmitted infections.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Basic Reproduction Number / statistics & numerical data
  • Chlamydia Infections / epidemiology
  • Chlamydia Infections / prevention & control
  • Computer Simulation
  • Cost-Benefit Analysis
  • Female
  • Gonorrhea / epidemiology
  • Gonorrhea / prevention & control
  • Health Promotion* / economics
  • Health Promotion* / methods
  • Health Promotion* / statistics & numerical data
  • Humans
  • Male
  • Mathematical Concepts
  • Models, Biological*
  • Papillomavirus Infections / epidemiology
  • Papillomavirus Infections / prevention & control
  • Prevalence
  • Public Health* / economics
  • Public Health* / statistics & numerical data
  • Sexually Transmitted Diseases / epidemiology
  • Sexually Transmitted Diseases / prevention & control*
  • Sexually Transmitted Diseases / transmission
  • Trichomonas Infections / epidemiology
  • Trichomonas Infections / prevention & control
  • United States / epidemiology