Economic growth, energy consumption, and carbon emission nexus: fresh evidence from developing countries

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2019 Sep;26(25):26367-26380. doi: 10.1007/s11356-019-05878-5. Epub 2019 Jul 9.

Abstract

The developing countries and emerging economies are crucially contributing to global economic development, energy transition, and climate governance. This paper employs panel cointegration technique to investigate the long-run relationship between carbon emissions and five impacting factors (per capita GDP, primary energy consumption, international trade, fossil proportion, and quadratic per capita GDP) in 50 representative developing countries during 1995-2017. The empirical findings confirm the existence of long-run equilibrium, and the regressing coefficients of fully-modified OLS (FMOLS) indicate that (a) impacting features of the inverted U-shaped curve of Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) theory appear in a few countries, such as Mexico, Croatia, Kazakhstan, Iran, Algeria, Indonesia, and Thailand; (b) the energy consumption has statistically positive and significant impacts on boosting the carbon emissions; (c) the negative effect of international trade emerges in the developing nations enjoying trade surpluses; and (d) fossil energy share poses a mixed impact. This paper reveals that the vast and inspiring contribution of developing countries to global carbon emission reduction should attract more international attention and assistance.

Keywords: Carbon emissions; Developing countries; Economic growth; Energy consumption; Panel cointegration.

MeSH terms

  • Algeria
  • Carbon Dioxide / analysis*
  • Croatia
  • Developing Countries
  • Economic Development*
  • Energy-Generating Resources* / economics
  • Energy-Generating Resources* / statistics & numerical data
  • Greenhouse Gases / analysis
  • Gross Domestic Product
  • Indonesia
  • Iran
  • Kazakhstan
  • Mexico
  • Thailand

Substances

  • Greenhouse Gases
  • Carbon Dioxide