Introduction: Rotavirus gastroenteritis is the leading cause of severe diarrhoea among young children < 5 years old. Previous cost-effectiveness analyses on rotavirus (RV) vaccination in Thailand have generated conflicting results. The aim of this current study is to evaluate the economic impact of introducing RV vaccination in Thailand, using updated Thai epidemiological and cost data.
Methods: Both cost-utility analysis (CUA) and budget impact analysis (BIA) of human rotavirus vaccine (HRV) under a universal mass vaccination (UMV) programme were conducted. A published static, deterministic, cross-sectional population model was adapted to assess costs and health outcomes associated with RV vaccination among Thai children < 5 years old during 1 year for CUA and over a 5-year period (2019-2023) for BIA. Data identified through literature review were incorporated into the model after consultation with local experts. Base case CUA was conducted from a societal perspective with quality-adjusted life year (QALY) discounted at 3% annually. Scenario analyses as well as one-way and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were conducted to assess the robustness of the base case CUA results. Costs were updated to 2017.
Results: At 99% coverage, HRV vaccination would substantially reduce RV-related disease burden. With an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of Thai baht (THB) 49,923/QALY gained, HRV vaccination versus no vaccination was cost-effective when assessed against a local threshold of THB 160,000/QALY gained. Scenario and sensitivity analyses confirmed the cost-effectiveness with all resultant ICERs falling below the willingness-to-pay threshold. HRV use in the UMV programme was estimated to result in a net expenditure of about THB 255-281 million to the Thai government in the 5th year of the programme, depending on vaccine uptake.
Conclusion: HRV vaccination is estimated to be cost-effective in Thailand. The budget impact following inclusion of HRV into the UMV programme is expected to be partially offset by substantial reductions in RV-related disease costs.
Funding: GlaxoSmithKline Biologicals SA GSK STUDY IDENTIFIER: HO-17-18213.
Keywords: Budget impact; Cost-effectiveness; Cost-utility analysis; Human rotavirus vaccine; Rotavirus; Thailand; Universal mass vaccination.