A Scoring System with High-Resolution Computed Tomography to Predict Drug-Associated Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome: Development and Internal Validation

Sci Rep. 2019 Jun 13;9(1):8601. doi: 10.1038/s41598-019-45063-9.

Abstract

Drugs can cause acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS). However, there is no established clinical prediction rule for drug-associated ARDS (DARDS). We aimed to develop and validate a scoring system for DARDS prediction. We analysed data collected from a prospective, single-centre, cohort study that included ARDS patients. The ARDS diagnosis was based on the American-European Consensus Conference or Berlin definition. Drug-associated acute lung injury (DALI) was defined as previous exposure to drugs which cause ALI and presence of traditional risk factors for ALI. High-resolution computed tomography (HRCT; indicating extent of lung damage with fibroproliferation), Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) II, and disseminated intravascular coagulation (DIC; indicating multiorgan failure) scores and PaO2/FiO2 were evaluated for their ability to predict DARDS. Twenty-nine of 229 patients had DARDS. The HRCT, APACHE II, and DIC scores and PaO2/FiO2 were assessed. The model-based predicted probability of DARDS fitted well with the observed data, and discrimination ability, assessed through bootstrap with an area under the receiver-operating curve, improved from 0.816 to 0.875 by adding the HRCT score. A simple clinical scoring system consisting of the APACHE II score, PaO2/FiO2, and DIC and HRCT scores can predict DARDS. This model may facilitate more appropriate clinical decision-making.

Publication types

  • Validation Study

MeSH terms

  • Aged
  • Area Under Curve
  • Female
  • Humans
  • Logistic Models
  • Male
  • Multivariate Analysis
  • ROC Curve
  • Respiratory Distress Syndrome / chemically induced*
  • Respiratory Distress Syndrome / diagnosis
  • Respiratory Distress Syndrome / diagnostic imaging*
  • Tomography, X-Ray Computed*