Population-level adult mortality following the expansion of antiretroviral therapy in Rakai, Uganda

Popul Stud (Camb). 2020 Mar;74(1):93-102. doi: 10.1080/00324728.2019.1595099. Epub 2019 May 23.

Abstract

There are limited data on the impact of antiretroviral therapy (ART) on population-level adult mortality in sub-Saharan Africa. We analysed data for 2000-14 from the Rakai Community Cohort Study (RCCS) in Uganda, where free ART was scaled up after 2004. Using non-parametric and parametric (Weibull) survival analysis, we estimated trends in average person-years lived between exact ages 15 and 50, per capita life-years lost to HIV, and the mortality hazards of people living with HIV (PLHIV). Between 2000 and 2014, average adult life-years lived before age 50 increased significantly, from 26.4 to 33.5 years for all women and from 28.6 to 33.8 years for all men. As of 2014, life-years lost to HIV had declined significantly, to 1.3 years among women and 0.4 years among men. Following the roll-out of ART, mortality reductions among PLHIV were initially larger in women than men, but this is no longer the case.

Keywords: HIV; Rakai; Uganda; antiretroviral therapy (ART); mortality.

Publication types

  • Research Support, N.I.H., Extramural
  • Research Support, N.I.H., Intramural
  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Adolescent
  • Adult
  • Anti-Retroviral Agents / therapeutic use*
  • HIV Infections / drug therapy*
  • HIV Infections / epidemiology*
  • HIV Infections / mortality
  • Humans
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Mortality / trends*
  • Survival Analysis
  • Uganda / epidemiology
  • Young Adult

Substances

  • Anti-Retroviral Agents