Oscillatory regimes in a mosquito population model with larval feedback on egg hatching

J Biol Dyn. 2019 Dec;13(1):269-300. doi: 10.1080/17513758.2019.1593524.

Abstract

Understanding mosquitoes life cycle is of great interest presently because of the increasing impact of vector borne diseases in several countries. There is evidence of oscillations in mosquito populations independent of seasonality, still unexplained, based on observations both in laboratories and in nature. We propose a simple mathematical model of egg hatching enhancement by larvae which produces such oscillations that conveys a possible explanation. We propose both a theoretical analysis, based on slow-fast dynamics and Hopf bifurcation, and numerical investigations in order to shed some light on the mechanisms at work in this model.

Keywords: 34C23; 34E15; 92D25; Hopf bifurcation; Mathematical biology; egg hatching; mosquitoes life cycle; slow–fast dynamics.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Animals
  • Culicidae / physiology*
  • Feedback*
  • Female
  • Larva / physiology
  • Male
  • Models, Biological*
  • Nonlinear Dynamics
  • Ovum / physiology*
  • Population Dynamics