Elevated Glycemic Gap Predicts Acute Respiratory Failure and In-hospital Mortality in Acute Heart Failure Patients with Diabetes

Sci Rep. 2019 Apr 18;9(1):6279. doi: 10.1038/s41598-019-42666-0.

Abstract

Diabetes is a common comorbidity in patients hospitalized for acute heart failure (AHF), but the relationship between admission glucose level, glycemic gap, and in-hospital mortality in patients with both conditions has not been investigated thoroughly. Clinical data for admission glucose, glycemic gap and in-hospital death in 425 diabetic patients hospitalized because of AHF were collected retrospectively. Glycemic gap was calculated as the A1c-derived average glucose subtracted from the admission plasma glucose level. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were used to determine the optimal cutoff value for glycemic gap to predict all-cause mortality. Patients with glycemic gap levels >43 mg/dL had higher rates of all-cause death (adjusted hazard ratio, 7.225, 95% confidence interval, 1.355-38.520) than those with glycemic gap levels ≤43 mg/dL. The B-type natriuretic peptide levels incorporated with glycemic gap could increase the predictive capacity for in-hospital mortality and increase the area under the ROC from 0.764 to 0.805 (net reclassification improvement = 9.9%, p < 0.05). In conclusion, glycemic gap may be considered a useful parameter for predicting the disease severity and prognosis of patients with diabetes hospitalized for AHF.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Aged
  • Aged, 80 and over
  • Blood Glucose
  • Diabetes Complications / blood
  • Diabetes Complications / mortality*
  • Diabetes Complications / pathology
  • Female
  • Glycated Hemoglobin / genetics
  • Glycemic Index
  • Heart Failure / blood
  • Heart Failure / etiology
  • Heart Failure / mortality*
  • Heart Failure / pathology
  • Hospital Mortality
  • Humans
  • Hyperglycemia / blood
  • Hyperglycemia / complications
  • Hyperglycemia / mortality*
  • Hyperglycemia / pathology
  • Male
  • Natriuretic Peptide, Brain / blood
  • Prognosis
  • Proportional Hazards Models
  • ROC Curve
  • Respiratory Insufficiency / blood
  • Respiratory Insufficiency / etiology
  • Respiratory Insufficiency / mortality*
  • Respiratory Insufficiency / pathology
  • Risk Factors

Substances

  • Blood Glucose
  • Glycated Hemoglobin A
  • hemoglobin A1c protein, human
  • Natriuretic Peptide, Brain