Asian Culturally Specific Predictors in a Large-Scale Land Use Regression Model to Predict Spatial-Temporal Variability of Ozone Concentration

Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2019 Apr 11;16(7):1300. doi: 10.3390/ijerph16071300.

Abstract

This paper developed a land use regression (LUR) model to study the spatial-temporal variability of O₃ concentrations in Taiwan, which has typical Asian cultural characteristics with diverse local emission sources. The Environmental Protection Agency's (EPA) data of O₃ concentrations from 2000 and 2013 were used to develop this model, while observations from 2014 were used as the external data verification to assess model reliability. The distribution of temples, cemeteries, and crematoriums was included for a potential predictor as an Asian culturally specific source for incense and joss money burning. We used stepwise regression for the LUR model development, and applied 10-fold cross-validation and external data for the verification of model reliability. With the overall model R² of 0.74 and a 10-fold cross-validated R² of 0.70, this model presented a mid-high prediction performance level. Moreover, during the stepwise selection procedures, the number of temples, cemeteries, and crematoriums was selected as an important predictor. By using the long-term monitoring data to establish an LUR model with culture specific predictors, this model can better depict O₃ concentration variation in Asian areas.

Keywords: Asian culturally specific source; land use regression (LUR); ozone; spatial-temporal variability; temple.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Air Pollutants / analysis*
  • Air Pollution / analysis*
  • Environmental Monitoring / methods*
  • Forecasting
  • Models, Theoretical
  • Ozone / analysis*
  • Particulate Matter / analysis*
  • Regression Analysis
  • Reproducibility of Results
  • Spatio-Temporal Analysis*
  • Taiwan

Substances

  • Air Pollutants
  • Particulate Matter
  • Ozone