Gabapentin and Cancer Risk: Updated Findings from Kaiser Permanente Northern California

Perm J. 2019:23:18-040. doi: 10.7812/TPP/18-040.

Abstract

Context: Epidemiologic analyses of gabapentin use and cancer risk in Kaiser Permanente Northern California were previously carried out in a collaborative study and independently evaluated in a UK database.

Objective: To update these epidemiologic analyses with 7.5 more years of follow-up.

Design: Case-control analyses using conditional logistic regression to estimate relative risk by odds ratios using the prior collaboration's criteria for identifying positive drug-cancer associations and our more stringent criteria requiring stronger association, lower p values, and evidence of dose response. New associations were reanalyzed with additional control for limited measures of smoking and alcohol use.

Main outcome measures: Gabapentin-cancer associations.

Results: No previously found associations met our stringent criteria, but cancers of the mouth/pharynx, esophagus, liver, and vagina did. All odds ratios for 3 or more and 8 or more prescriptions were moderately reduced by control for smoking and alcohol. Substantial elevations of risk of mouth/pharynx, liver, and vaginal cancers were associated with only 1 prescription dispensed. Sensitivity analyses aimed at possible confounding and other biases did not change our conclusions but did reveal a markedly increased risk of vaginal cancer in gabapentin users with epilepsy compared with users without.

Conclusion: The reduced magnitude of relative risk with control for smoking and alcohol use suggests confounding by known risk factors. Biologically implausible elevated risk from just 1 prescription suggests confounding by indication. Either or both of these concerns applies to each of the 4 cancer sites associated with gabapentin use. Updated analyses show little if any evidence for carcinogenic effects of gabapentin.

Publication types

  • Research Support, N.I.H., Extramural
  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Analgesics / administration & dosage*
  • California / epidemiology
  • Case-Control Studies
  • Cohort Studies
  • Databases, Factual
  • Female
  • Follow-Up Studies
  • Gabapentin / administration & dosage*
  • Humans
  • Male
  • Neoplasms / epidemiology*
  • Risk Assessment
  • Sensitivity and Specificity
  • United Kingdom / epidemiology

Substances

  • Analgesics
  • Gabapentin