It is a conventional practice to adopt Weibull statistics with a modulus of 4 for characterizing the statistical distribution of cleavage fracture toughness of ferritic steels, albeit based on a rather weak physical justification. In this study, a statistical model for cleavage fracture toughness of ferritic steels is proposed according to a new local approach model. The model suggests that there exists a unique correlation of the cumulative failure probability, fracture toughness and yield strength. This correlation is validated by the Euro fracture toughness dataset for 1CT specimens at four different temperatures, which deviates from the Weibull statistical model with a modulus of four.
Keywords: cleavage fracture toughness; ferritic steels; master curve behavior; statistical model.