Objectives: Steroids are the first-line drugs for induction of remission in patients with type 1 autoimmune pancreatitis (AIP), and the usefulness of steroid maintenance therapy to prevent relapse has recently been reported. However, even during steroid therapy, a relatively large percentage of patients relapse and the predictive factors for relapse have not yet been elucidated. The aim of this study was to clarify the predictive factors for relapse of AIP patients during steroid therapy.
Materials and methods: The medical records of 76 patients with type 1 AIP with continued steroid therapy after induction of remission were analyzed retrospectively. The relapse rate during steroid therapy was evaluated, and the risk factors for relapse were investigated by univariate and multivariate analysis of clinical factors.
Results: Relapse occurred in 28.9% (22/76) of the patients. The cumulative relapse rates were 10.5% at 1 year, 25.0% at 3 years, 34.9% at 5 years, and 43.0% at 10 years. In multivariate analysis, presence of sclerosing dacryoadenitis/sialadenitis at the time of initial diagnosis of AIP was an independent risk factor for relapse (HR 3.475, p = .009). The cumulative relapse rates of patients with sclerosing dacryoadenitis/sialadenitis reached 21.4% at 1 year, 56.0% at 3 years, and 78.0% at 5 years.
Conclusions: Sclerosing dacryoadenitis/sialadenitis was a predictive factor for relapse in type 1 AIP during steroid therapy; in such cases, strict follow-up is necessary with relapse in mind.
Keywords: Autoimmune pancreatitis; predictive factor; relapse; sclerosing dacryoadenitis/sialadenitis; steroid therapy.