Characterisation of survivability resilience with dynamic stock interdependence in financial networks

Appl Netw Sci. 2018;3(1):23. doi: 10.1007/s41109-018-0086-z. Epub 2018 Jul 31.

Abstract

This paper examines the dynamic evolutionary process in the London Stock Exchange and uses network statistical measures to model the resilience of stock. A large historical dataset of companies was collected over 40 years (1977-2017) and conceptualised into weighted, temporally evolving and signed networks using correlation-based interdependences. Our results revealed a "fission-fusion" market growth in network topologies, which indicated the dynamic and complex characteristics of its evolutionary process. In addition, our regression and modelling results offer insights for construction a "characterisation tool" which can be used to predict stocks that have delisted and continuing performance relatively well, but were less adequate for stocks with normal performance. Moreover, the analysis of deviance suggested that the survivability resilience could be described and approximated by degree-related centrality measures. This study introduces a novel alternative for looking at the bankruptcy in the stock market and is potentially helpful for shareholders, decision- and policy-makers.

Keywords: Financial stock networks; Network dynamic evolution; Survivability resilience; Weighted mtultinomial logistic regression.