Cost-effectiveness analysis of the oral cancer screening program in Taiwan

Abstract

Objectives: We assess the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of the oral cancer (OC) screening program in Taiwan.

Materials and methods: We interlinked the Cancer Registry, Mortality Registry, National Vital Statistics, reimbursement database of National Health Insurance, and the National Oral Cancer Screening database of Taiwan. A total of 40,092 pathologically verified OC patients were identified and followed during 2002-2014. After stratification by stages, lifetime survival curves were estimated by a rolling extrapolation algorithm to obtain life expectancy (LE), expected years of life lost (EYLL), and lifetime medical costs (LMC).

Results: The LE for stages I-IV were 19.5, 14.0, 11.9, and 7.7 life-years, respectively, while those of EYLL were 7.3, 12.2, 15.4, and 18.7 life-years, respectively. The LMC for stages I-IV were US$ 65,752, 60,086, 53,675, and 47,570, respectively. We assumed no life loss for stage 0 with LMC of US$ 5380 spent for the first year after diagnosis. During 2010-2013, 967 out of the 28,018 cases detected with abnormal oral pathology by screening were found to develop OC. The ICER of the screening program was US$ 28,516 per life-year saved, which could be improved to US$ 5579 per life-year saved if all cancers transformed from abnormal oral pathology were detected before stage I.

Conclusion: The ICER of the current OC screening program in Taiwan slightly exceeds 1 GDP (gross domestic product) per capita per life-year saved. Intensive follow-up and treatment for all patients with abnormal oral pathology would improve screening efficiency and effectiveness of prevention.

Keywords: Cost-effectiveness; Expected years of life loss; Life expectancy; Lifetime medical costs; Oral cancer; Oral screening.