Approximately 20-40% of high-grade Cervical Intraepithelial Neoplasia (CIN) regresses spontaneously, but the natural prognosis of an individual lesion is unpredictable. Gain of the chromosomal 3q region, which contains the human telomerase RNA gene on 3q26, is found in CIN lesions and cervical carcinoma and shows correlation with disease grade. The aim of this study is to assess whether 3q26 gain as a single genetic marker can predict the natural prognosis of high-grade CIN, by performing a review of the literature and pilot study. A literature review was conducted. Additionally, we performed a pilot study in 19 patients with histologically confirmed high-grade CIN lesions who were followed for a mean of 115 days, after which loop excision was performed. Fluorescent in situ hybridization analysis was performed on the initial diagnostic biopsies to determine gain of 3q26. Eight studies were included in the literature overview, with a total of 407 patients. Of these, only 22 patients had high-grade lesions. All studies found an association between 3q26 gain and disease prognosis. Positive predictive values (PPV) ranged from 50 to 93%, negative predictive values (NPV) ranged from 75 to 100%. Only five out of 155 patients (3.2%) without 3q26 gain showed disease persistence or progression. In our pilot study on 3q26 gain in high-grade CIN, the PPV of 3q26 gain for disease persistence was 67%, the NPV 100%. All four patients without 3q26 gain showed disease regression. In conclusion, the absence of 3q26 gain in diagnostic biopsies may be applied to identify high-grade CIN lesions with a high probability of disease regression.
Keywords: 3q26; Biomarker; Cervical intraepithelal neoplasia; Prognosis; hTERC.