Using spatio-temporal fusion of Landsat-8 and MODIS data to derive phenology, biomass and yield estimates for corn and soybean

Abstract

The Simple Algorithm for Yield estimates (SAFY) is a crop yield model that simulates crop growth and biomass accumulation at a daily time step. Parameters in the SAFY model can be determined from literature, in situ measurements, or optical remote sensing data through data assimilation. For effective determination of parameters, optical remote sensing data need to be acquired at high spatial and high temporal resolutions. However, this is challenging due to interference of cloud cover and rather long revisiting cycles of high resolution satellite sensors. Spatio-temporal fusion of multi-source remote sensing data may represent a feasible solution. Here, crop phenology-related parameters in the SAFY model were derived using an improved Two-Step Filtering (TSF) model from remote sensing data generated through spatio-temporal fusion of Landsat-8 and Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) data. Remaining parameters were determined through an optimization procedure using the same dataset. The SAFY model was then used for dry aboveground biomass and yield estimation at a subfield scale for corn (Zea mays) and soybean (Glycine max). The results show that the improved TSF method is able to determine crop phenology stages with an error of <5 days. After calibration, the SAFY model can reproduce daily Green Leaf Area Index (GLAI) effectively throughout the growing season and estimate crop biomass and yield accurately at a subfield scale using three Landsat-8 and 10 MODIS images acquired for the season. This approach improves the accuracy of biomass estimation by about 4% in relative Root Mean Square Error (RRMSE), compared with the SAFY model without forcing the phenology-related parameters. The RMSE of yield estimation is 146.33 g/m² for corn and 82.86 g/m² for soybean. The proposed framework is applicable for local-scale or field-scale phenology detection and yield estimation.

Keywords: Corn; Crop yield model; Fusion; Phenology; SAFY; Soybean.