Large amounts of air pollutants emitted from massive coal combustion result in the air quality deterioration and threaten public health in China. To improve air quality, the Chinese government released the coal cap policy to reduce coal consumption. So it is important and necessary to understand the possible environmental impact and relevant health benefits from the coal cap policy. The purpose of this paper is to quantify the air quality improvement and to evaluate the health benefits from the implementation of the coal cap policy, with the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei (BTH) region as the study area. The results showed that the emissions of SO2, NOx, CO, VOCs, PM10, and PM2.5 could be reduced by 20-40% in the BTH region in 2020 and all pollutants from industrial boilers notably decreased. Under the coal cap policy, the PM2.5 concentration in the whole region would fall by 11.27%, and the total economic benefit from health impacts could achieve 26.61 (13.29 to 39.14) billion RMB (3.9 billion USD) in the BTH region in 2020, accounting for 0.43% (0.21 to 0.63%) of regional GDP in 2013. This study demonstrated the quantification of environmental effect and health benefit from the coal cap policy, which could be used for the complete cost-benefit analysis and provide the sufficient support for policy makers to implement the coal cap policy in the BTH region and other areas of China.
Keywords: Coal cap policy; Economic benefit; Emission reduction; Health effect.