The U Shape of Prostate-specific Antigen and Prostate Cancer-specific Mortality in High-grade Metastatic Prostate Adenocarcinoma

Eur Urol Focus. 2020 Jan 15;6(1):53-62. doi: 10.1016/j.euf.2018.08.024. Epub 2018 Sep 11.

Abstract

Background: Accumulated evidence suggests that metastatic prostate cancer (mPCa) with a low prostate-specific antigen (PSA) level may be a unique entity. However, its clinical features and prognosis have not been fully evaluated.

Objective: To investigate the clinical features of low-PSA mPCa and the impact of low PSA level on overall survival (OS) and PCa-specific mortality (PCSM) of mPCa.

Design, setting, and participants: A total of 8479 mPCa patients were retrieved from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results program (2010-2015). The median follow-up was 18 mo.

Outcome measurements and statistical analysis: Cox regression and Fine-Gray competing risk were used to calculate the hazard ratio (HR) and subdistribution hazard ratio (sHR) for OS and PCSM, respectively.

Results and limitations: A higher rate of T4 stage disease (19.8%) and visceral metastasis (18.2%) and the shortest median OS (34 mo) were observed in mPCa patients with Gleason 8-10 and PSA ≤4ng/ml. In the Cox regression model, PSA ≤4ng/ml was a significant predictor of OS for Gleason 8-10 disease. The distribution of PCSM by PSA was U-shaped for Gleason score 8-10 (PSA 4.1-10ng/ml as the referent), with an adjusted sHR of 1.52 for PSA ≤4.0ng/ml (95% confidence interval: 1.17-1.96) versus 0.99 for PSA 10.1-20ng/ml and 1.35 for PSA >20ng/ml. In contrast, the distribution of PCSM by PSA was linear for Gleason 5-7. Sensitivity analyses showed similar results in Gleason 9-10 and Gleason 10 subgroup. The study is limited by its retrospective design.

Conclusions: Low PSA, high-grade mPCa has a higher proportion of T4 stage disease, visceral metastasis, and PCSM.

Patient summary: We found that 2.8% of high-grade metastatic prostate cancer has a prostate-specific antigen level ≤4ng/ml at diagnosis. This population has aggressive clinical features and a poor cancer-specific outcome. Our results highlighted this under-reported population, and the management of these patients warrants further research.

Keywords: Gleason score; Metastatic prostate cancer; Prostate cancer-specific mortality; Prostate-specific antigen.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Adenocarcinoma / blood*
  • Adenocarcinoma / mortality*
  • Adenocarcinoma / pathology
  • Aged
  • Humans
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Neoplasm Grading
  • Prostate-Specific Antigen / blood*
  • Prostatic Neoplasms / blood*
  • Prostatic Neoplasms / mortality*
  • Prostatic Neoplasms / pathology
  • Retrospective Studies
  • Survival Rate

Substances

  • Prostate-Specific Antigen