Purpose: Since 2014, when the Health Insurance Marketplaces (HIMs) authorized by the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act (PPACA) were implemented, considerable premium changes have been observed in the marketplaces across the 50 states and the District of Columbia. This policy brief assesses the changes in average HIM plan premiums from 2014 to 2018, before accounting for subsidies, with an emphasis on the widening variation across rural and urban places, providing information during Congressional debates on the future of the program.
Key findings: (1) Insurance issuers reduced HIM participation across both rural and urban places (with 1.7 and 2.2 issuers, respectively), both in states that expanded Medicaid under the PPACA and in non-expansion states. (2) The average adjusted premium (before premium subsidy) continues to rise across all of the above categories, and the gap has widened between the 32 Medicaid expansion and 19 non-expansion states. Average premiums in rural counties are higher than average premiums in urban counties in both expansion and non-expansion states (by $43 per month and $27 per month, respectively). (3) Prior trends of lower premium changes at greater population densities are no longer observed in the 2018 data. (4) In 2018, 1,581 counties (52 perent) have one participating insurance issuer. Nationwide, 42 percent of all urban counties and 55 percent of all rural counties only have one issuer.