Estimating the effects of variation in viremia on mosquito susceptibility, infectiousness, and R0 of Zika in Aedes aegypti

PLoS Negl Trop Dis. 2018 Aug 22;12(8):e0006733. doi: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0006733. eCollection 2018 Aug.

Abstract

Zika virus (ZIKV) is an arbovirus primarily transmitted by Aedes mosquitoes. Like most viral infections, ZIKV viremia varies over several orders of magnitude, with unknown consequences for transmission. To determine the effect of viral concentration on ZIKV transmission risk, we exposed field-derived Ae. aegypti mosquitoes to four doses (10(3), 10(4), 10(5), 10(6) PFU/mL) representative of potential variation in the field. We demonstrate that increasing ZIKV dose in the blood-meal significantly increases the probability of mosquitoes becoming infected, and consequently disseminating virus and becoming infectious. Additionally, we observed significant interactions between dose and days post-infection on dissemination and overall transmission efficiency, suggesting that variation in ZIKV dose affects the rates of midgut escape and salivary gland invasion. We did not find significant effects of dose on mosquito mortality. We also demonstrate that detecting virus using RT-qPCR approaches rather than plaque assays potentially over-estimates key transmission parameters, including the time at which mosquitoes become infectious and viral burden. Finally, using these data to parameterize an R0 model, we showed that increasing viremia from 10(4) to 10(6) PFU/mL increased relative R0 3.8-fold, demonstrating that variation in viremia substantially affects transmission risk.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't
  • Research Support, U.S. Gov't, Non-P.H.S.

MeSH terms

  • Aedes / virology*
  • Animals
  • Mosquito Vectors / virology*
  • Viral Plaque Assay
  • Viremia*
  • Zika Virus / physiology*

Associated data

  • figshare/10.6084/m9.figshare.6953291.v1

Grants and funding

This study was supported by the National Science Foundation, Grants for Rapid Response Research (NSF-RAPID), award #1640780 (https://www.nsf.gov/awardsearch/showAward?AWD_ID=1640780) (CCM, MHB, EAM, MAB). EAM was supported by National Science Foundation, Division of Environmental Biology, award #1518681 (https://www.nsf.gov/awardsearch/showAward?AWD_ID=1518681&HistoricalAwards=false) and the Stanford University Woods Institute for the Environment Environmental Ventures Program. Any opinions, findings, and conclusions or recommendations expressed in this material are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of the National Science Foundation. The funders had no role in study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript.