Regional Spatial-Temporal Spread of Citrus Huanglongbing Is Affected by Rain in Florida

Phytopathology. 2018 Dec;108(12):1420-1428. doi: 10.1094/PHYTO-03-18-0088-R. Epub 2018 Oct 24.

Abstract

Citrus huanglongbing (HLB), associated with 'Candidatus Liberibacter asiaticus' (Las), disseminated by Asian citrus psyllid (ACP), has devastated citrus in Florida since 2005. Data on HLB occurrence were stored in databases (2005 to 2012). Cumulative HLB-positive citrus blocks were subjected to kernel density analysis and kriging. Relative disease incidence per county was calculated by dividing HLB numbers by relative tree numbers and maximum incidence. Spatiotemporal HLB distributions were correlated with weather. Relative HLB incidence correlated positively with rainfall. The focus expansion rate was 1626 m month-1, similar to that in Brazil. Relative HLB incidence in counties with primarily large groves increased at a lower rate (0.24 year-1) than in counties with smaller groves in hotspot areas (0.67 year-1), confirming reports that large-scale HLB management may slow epidemic progress.

Keywords: area under the disease progress curve; citrus greening; frontal movement; ordinary kriging; weather effects.

Publication types

  • Research Support, U.S. Gov't, Non-P.H.S.

MeSH terms

  • Animals
  • Citrus / microbiology*
  • Florida
  • Hemiptera / microbiology*
  • Insect Vectors / microbiology*
  • Plant Diseases / microbiology
  • Plant Diseases / statistics & numerical data*
  • Rhizobiaceae / physiology*
  • Spatio-Temporal Analysis
  • Trees
  • Weather