Few data exist regarding the association of plasma arginine vasopressin (AVP) and noradrenaline (NA) levels with subsequent cardiac events in acute decompensated heart failure (ADHF) patients. We measured plasma AVP and NA levels in ADHF patients on admission. In the follow-up (median: 487 days) of 291 patients, 41 cardiac events (cardiac death or re-hospitalization due to HF) were documented. The plasma AVP (26.4 versus 15.5 pg/mL, P = 0.014) and plasma NA (2347 versus 1524 pg/mL, P = 0.007) levels in the cardiac events group were significantly higher than those in the non-cardiac events group. The multivariable hazard ratios (HR) (95% confidence intervals [CI]) in the first tertile (1T) versus the third tertile (3T) of plasma AVP and NA levels were 2.97 (1.06-8.32) and 3.34 (1.21-9.26) for cardiac events, respectively. Group High (3T of combined AVP and NA) had a significantly higher incidence of cardiac events than Group Low (1T of combined groups) (HR: 3.50, 95% CI: 1.17-10.42, P = 0.017). Similarly, the relative risk ratio of cardiac events according to this stratification was more than that of plasma AVP or NA level alone (3.51, 2.65, and 2.95). Higher levels of plasma AVP and NA measured on admission may be associated with the incidence of cardiac events. Combined evaluation of these two parameters may be useful for assessing the prognosis of ADHF survivors.
Keywords: Biomarker; Cardiovascular events; Kaplan-Meier statistical analysis; Neurohumoral factors; Risk assessment.