Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is a syndrome with a high rate of short-term mortality, and clinically it is important to identify patients at high risk of mortality. The present study evaluated the value of osteopontin (OPN) in the prediction of 90-day mortality in patients with ACLF. A total of 54 patients with HBV-associated ACLF were enrolled, and serum OPN levels were determined in a prospective, observational study design. Survival analysis was performed using Kaplan-Meier curves, and multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression was used to analyze independent risk factors of mortality. Serum OPN was significantly higher in HBV-ACLF patients compared with patients with chronic hepatitis B and healthy controls (both P<0.01), and furthermore, was higher in those patients who succumbed to HBV-ACLF compared with surviving patients (P<0.05). OPN level positively correlated with total bilirubin (r=0.554, P<0.001), Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score (r=0.234, P=0.038), MELD-Na score (r=0.379, P=0.005) and monocyte count (r=0.282, P=0.039), and OPN was an independent risk factor for 90-day mortality in ACLF (P=0.021, odds ratio=1.104, 95% confidence interval: 1.003-1.116). Furthermore, ACLF patients were stratified into three groups according to serum OPN levels (low mortality risk: <6,135 ng/ml; intermediate risk: 6,135-9,043 ng/ml; and high risk: >9,043 ng/ml), for which the 90-day mortality rates were 27.78 (5/18), 52.94 (9/17) and 73.68% (14/19), respectively, and those in the high risk had a poorer prognosis compared with the low risk group (P=0.009). In conclusion, serum OPN may be an independent risk factor associated with HBV-ACLF prognosis.
Keywords: acute-on-chronic liver failure; biomarker; osteopontin; prognosis; survival prediction.