Development of a fibrosis index including hepatitis B virus basal core promoter A1762T mutation for pretherapeutic evaluation

Abstract

Background and aim: Commonly used non-invasive fibrosis scores usually included serum transaminase levels in the equations, including Aspartate transaminase to Platelet Ratio Index (APRI) and fibrosis-4 (FIB-4). Transaminases fluctuated significantly in chronic hepatitis B patients with exacerbations, leading to unsteady score values. As such, here, we aim to develop a transaminase-free score suitable for pretherapeutic evaluation of fibrosis stages.

Methods: Firstly, 1082 treatment-naïve chronic hepatitis B patients were enrolled and divided into modeling (n = 541) and verification (n = 541) cohorts. Secondly, 265 patients having received liver biopsy, with known Ishak fibrosis stages, were included for independent correlation.

Results: Cross-sectional analysis of 1082 patients revealed age-dependent variation of association between virological factors and cirrhosis. A fibrosis score including Anti-hepatitis B e antibody, Basal core promoter (BCP) A1762T mutation, and Platelet count Index (named ABPI) was derived from the modeling cohort. ABPI performed better than APRI and FIB-4 in the verification cohort for identifying cirrhotic patients (comparison of area under the receiver operating characteristic curves: ABPI vs APRI and FIB-4 = 0.785 vs 0.563 [P < 0.001] and 0.700 [P = 0.026], respectively). The performance of ABPI was even better in young (< 40 years old) hepatitis B patients (area under the receiver operating characteristic curves: 0.856 vs 0.402 [P < 0.001] and 0.599 [P = 0.009], respectively). Finally, in the independent cohort of 265 patients with known Ishak fibrosis stages, it was found that ABPI effectively distinguished between Ishak fibrosis stages 3 and > 3 and between 4 and > 4 (P < 0.001 for each).

Conclusions: We developed a transaminase-free fibrosis score (ABPI) utilizing basal core promoter A1762T data, which outperformed APRI and FIB-4.

Keywords: age-stratified analysis; basal core promoter; genotype; hepatitis B virus; liver fibrosis.