Changes in the geographical distribution of plant species and climatic variables on the West Cornwall peninsula (South West UK)

PLoS One. 2018 Feb 5;13(2):e0191021. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0191021. eCollection 2018.

Abstract

Recent climate change has had a major impact on biodiversity and has altered the geographical distribution of vascular plant species. This trend is visible globally; however, more local and regional scale research is needed to improve understanding of the patterns of change and to develop appropriate conservation strategies that can minimise cultural, health, and economic losses at finer scales. Here we describe a method to manually geo-reference botanical records from a historical herbarium to track changes in the geographical distributions of plant species in West Cornwall (South West England) using both historical (pre-1900) and contemporary (post-1900) distribution records. We also assess the use of Ellenberg and climate indicator values as markers of responses to climate and environmental change. Using these techniques we detect a loss in 19 plant species, with 6 species losing more than 50% of their previous range. Statistical analysis showed that Ellenberg (light, moisture, nitrogen) and climate indicator values (mean January temperature, mean July temperature and mean precipitation) could be used as environmental change indicators. Significantly higher percentages of area lost were detected in species with lower January temperatures, July temperatures, light, and nitrogen values, as well as higher annual precipitation and moisture values. This study highlights the importance of historical records in examining the changes in plant species' geographical distributions. We present a method for manual geo-referencing of such records, and demonstrate how using Ellenberg and climate indicator values as environmental and climate change indicators can contribute towards directing appropriate conservation strategies.

Publication types

  • Historical Article
  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Biodiversity
  • Climate Change* / history
  • England
  • History, 19th Century
  • History, 20th Century
  • History, 21st Century
  • Plant Dispersal
  • Plants*
  • Species Specificity

Grants and funding

Founding was provided by University of Exeter and Cornwall Council to AK for her PhD project. Neither of these founding routes have reference numbers. The funders had no role in study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript.