Fluctuation-driven price dynamics and investment strategies

PLoS One. 2017 Dec 14;12(12):e0189274. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0189274. eCollection 2017.

Abstract

Investigation of the driven mechanism of the price dynamics in complex financial systems is important and challenging. In this paper, we propose an investment strategy to study how dynamic fluctuations drive the price movements. The strategy is successfully applied to different stock markets in the world, and the result indicates that the driving effect of the dynamic fluctuations is rather robust. We investigate how the strategy performance is influenced by the market states and optimize the strategy performance by introducing two parameters. The strategy is also compared with several typical technical trading rules. Our findings not only provide an investment strategy which extends investors' profits, but also offer a useful method to look into the dynamic properties of complex financial systems.

MeSH terms

  • Investments*
  • Models, Economic

Grants and funding

Bo Zheng was supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant Nos. 11375149, 11775186, and Xiong-Fei Jiang was supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant No. 11505099. The funders had no role in study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript.