Connectivity and systemic resilience of the Great Barrier Reef

PLoS Biol. 2017 Nov 28;15(11):e2003355. doi: 10.1371/journal.pbio.2003355. eCollection 2017 Nov.

Abstract

Australia's iconic Great Barrier Reef (GBR) continues to suffer from repeated impacts of cyclones, coral bleaching, and outbreaks of the coral-eating crown-of-thorns starfish (COTS), losing much of its coral cover in the process. This raises the question of the ecosystem's systemic resilience and its ability to rebound after large-scale population loss. Here, we reveal that around 100 reefs of the GBR, or around 3%, have the ideal properties to facilitate recovery of disturbed areas, thereby imparting a level of systemic resilience and aiding its continued recovery. These reefs (1) are highly connected by ocean currents to the wider reef network, (2) have a relatively low risk of exposure to disturbances so that they are likely to provide replenishment when other reefs are depleted, and (3) have an ability to promote recovery of desirable species but are unlikely to either experience or spread COTS outbreaks. The great replenishment potential of these 'robust source reefs', which may supply 47% of the ecosystem in a single dispersal event, emerges from the interaction between oceanographic conditions and geographic location, a process that is likely to be repeated in other reef systems. Such natural resilience of reef systems will become increasingly important as the frequency of disturbances accelerates under climate change.

MeSH terms

  • Animals
  • Anthozoa / growth & development*
  • Coral Reefs*
  • Ecosystem*
  • Larva
  • Tidal Waves

Grants and funding

National Environmental Science Programme (grant 3.1.1 Implementation of the Crown of Thorns research strategy: regional strategies). Received by PJM, KH, SAC. ARC Linkage Programme (grant number LP160100730). Received by PJM. Queensland Accelerate Partnership (grant Solving CoTS on the GBR). Received by KRNA, PJM. Great Barrier Reef Foundation (grant Delivering a reef resilience plan for the Cairns management area through an integrated spatial decision support environment). Received by PJM, KH, KRNA, SAC. Science and Industry Endowment Fund (grant Functioning of coral reef networks under climate change). Received by PJM, KRNA, KH. National Environmental Research Program (grant 9.1 Decision support tools to identify (and map) bleaching resistant areas within the GBRMP). Received by PJM, KRNA. The funders had no role in study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript.