Predictive Indicators to Identify High-Risk Paediatric Febrile Neutropenia in Paediatric Oncology Patients in a Middle-Income Country

J Trop Pediatr. 2018 Oct 1;64(5):395-402. doi: 10.1093/tropej/fmx082.

Abstract

Purpose: To validate a clinical risk prediction score (Ammann score) to predict adverse events (AEs) in paediatric febrile neutropenia (FN).

Patients and methods: Patients <16 years of age were enrolled. A risk prediction score (based on haemoglobin ≥ 9 g/dl, white cell count (WCC) < 0.3 G/l, platelet count <50 G/l and chemotherapy more intensive than acute lymphoblastic leukaemia maintenance therapy) was calculated and AEs were documented.

Results: In total, 100 FN episodes occurred in 52 patients, male:female ratio was 1.8:1 and median age was 56 months. At reassessment, AEs occurred in 18 of 55 (45%) low-risk FN episodes (score < 9) and 21 of 42 (55%) high-risk episodes (score ≥9) (sensitivity 60%, specificity 65%, positive predictive value 53%, negative predictive value 71%). Total WCC and absolute monocyte count (AMC) were significantly associated with AEs.

Conclusion: This study identified total WCC and AMC as significantly associated with AEs but failed to validate the risk prediction score.

MeSH terms

  • Antineoplastic Agents / adverse effects*
  • Chemotherapy-Induced Febrile Neutropenia / complications
  • Child
  • Child, Preschool
  • Febrile Neutropenia / blood
  • Febrile Neutropenia / chemically induced*
  • Febrile Neutropenia / complications
  • Female
  • Fever / blood
  • Fever / chemically induced*
  • Fever / complications
  • Hemoglobins / metabolism
  • Humans
  • Male
  • Neoplasms / complications
  • Neoplasms / drug therapy*
  • Platelet Count
  • Predictive Value of Tests
  • Reproducibility of Results
  • Risk Assessment / methods*
  • Risk Factors
  • Sensitivity and Specificity
  • Severity of Illness Index
  • Treatment Outcome

Substances

  • Antineoplastic Agents
  • Hemoglobins