Causal inference in environmental epidemiology

Environ Health Toxicol. 2017 Oct 7:32:e2017015. doi: 10.5620/eht.e2017015. eCollection 2017.

Abstract

Inferring causality is necessary to achieve the goal of epidemiology, which is to elucidate the cause of disease. Causal inference is conducted in three steps: evaluation of validity of the study, inference of general causality, and inference of individual causality. To evaluate validity of the study, we propose a checklist that focuses on biases and generalizability. For general causal inference, we recommend utilizing Hill's 9 viewpoints. Lastly, individual causality can be inferred based on the general causality and evidence of exposure. Additional considerations may be needed for social or legal purposes; however, these additional considerations should be based on the scientific truth elucidated by the causal inference described in the present article.

Keywords: Causality; Environmental exposure; Epidemiology; Validity.