The impact of HIV infection and socioeconomic factors on the incidence of gonorrhea: A county-level, US-wide analysis

PLoS One. 2017 Sep 1;12(9):e0183938. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0183938. eCollection 2017.

Abstract

Background: Gonorrhea is the second most commonly reported identifiable disease in the United States (U.S.). Importantly, more than 25% of gonorrheal infections demonstrate antibiotic resistance, leading the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) to classify gonorrhea as an "urgent threat".

Methods: We examined the association of gonorrhea infection rates with the incidence of HIV and socioeconomic factors. A county-level multivariable model was then constructed.

Results: Multivariable analysis demonstrated that HIV incidence [Coefficient (Coeff): 1.26, 95% Confidence Interval (CI): 0.86, 1.66, P<0.001] exhibited the most powerful independent association with the incidence of gonorrhea and predicted 40% of the observed variation in gonorrhea infection rates. Sociodemographic factors like county urban ranking (Coeff: 0.12, 95% CI: 0.03, 0.20, P = 0.005), percentage of women (Coeff: 0.41, 95% CI: 0.28, 0.53, P<0.001) and percentage of individuals under the poverty line (Coeff: 0.45, 95% CI: 0.32, 0.57, P<0.001) exerted a secondary impact. A regression model that incorporated these variables predicted 56% of the observed variation in gonorrhea incidence (Pmodel<0.001, R2 model = 0.56).

Conclusions: Gonorrhea and HIV infection exhibited a powerful correlation thus emphasizing the benefits of comprehensive screening for sexually transmitted infections (STIs) and the value of pre-exposure prophylaxis for HIV among patients visiting an STI clinic. Furthermore, sociodemographic factors also impacted gonorrhea incidence, thus suggesting another possible focus for public health initiatives.

MeSH terms

  • Anti-Bacterial Agents / chemistry
  • Cost-Benefit Analysis
  • Drug Resistance, Bacterial
  • Female
  • Geography
  • Gonorrhea / complications*
  • Gonorrhea / economics*
  • Gonorrhea / epidemiology
  • HIV Infections / complications*
  • HIV Infections / economics*
  • HIV Infections / epidemiology
  • Humans
  • Incidence
  • Male
  • Multivariate Analysis
  • Poverty
  • Regression Analysis
  • Social Class*
  • United States / epidemiology

Substances

  • Anti-Bacterial Agents

Grants and funding

The authors received no specific funding for this work.