Pretreatment Serum Carbohydrate Antigen 19-9 Concentration Is a Predictor of Survival of Patients Who Have Undergone Curative Resection of Stage IV Rectal Cancer

Dig Surg. 2018;35(5):389-396. doi: 10.1159/000480247. Epub 2017 Sep 1.

Abstract

Background: To evaluate whether pretreatment carcinoembryonic antigen and carbohydrate antigen (CA)19-9 are useful predictors of survival in patients with stage IV rectal cancer who have undergone curative resection.

Methods: In this retrospective study, data on 73 patients who had undergone curative resection of stage IV rectal cancer were reviewed. Associations between various clinicopathological factors and survival outcomes were analyzed.

Results: According to univariate analysis, elevated pretreatment CA19-9 (p = 0.0028), R1 resection (p = 0.0318), and mucinous or poorly differentiated adenocarcinoma (p = 0.0228) were significantly associated with poor overall survival (OS), and lymph node metastasis (p = 0.0211) was significantly associated with poor disease-free survival (DFS). Multivariate analyses showed that elevated pretreatment serum CA19-9 concentration (hazard ratios [HR] 3.33; 95% CI 1.24-9.42; p = 0.0174) was an independent predictor for OS and lymph node metastasis (HR 2.26; 95% CI 1.15-4.82; p = 0.0164) was an independent predictor for DFS. Among 55 patients with recurrences after curative resection, the rate of complete resection of recurrences was significantly higher in patients with normal pretreatment CA19-9 than in those with elevated CA19-9 (p = 0.049). Post-recurrence survival was significantly worse in patients with elevated pretreatment CA19-9 than in those with normal CA19-9 (p = 0.0196).

Conclusions: Pretreatment CA19-9 is good predictor of survival after curative resection of stage IV rectal cancer.

Keywords: Carbohydrate antigen19-9; Curative resection; Rectal cancer; Stage IV.

MeSH terms

  • Adenocarcinoma, Mucinous / blood*
  • Adenocarcinoma, Mucinous / secondary
  • Adenocarcinoma, Mucinous / surgery*
  • Adult
  • Aged
  • Aged, 80 and over
  • CA-19-9 Antigen / blood*
  • Disease-Free Survival
  • Female
  • Humans
  • Lymphatic Metastasis
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Neoplasm Grading
  • Neoplasm Recurrence, Local / blood*
  • Neoplasm Staging
  • Neoplasm, Residual
  • Predictive Value of Tests
  • Preoperative Period
  • Proportional Hazards Models
  • Rectal Neoplasms / blood*
  • Rectal Neoplasms / pathology
  • Rectal Neoplasms / surgery*
  • Retrospective Studies
  • Sex Factors
  • Survival Rate

Substances

  • CA-19-9 Antigen