Stroke or left atrial thrombus prediction using antithrombin III and mean platelet volume in patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation

Clin Cardiol. 2017 Nov;40(11):1013-1019. doi: 10.1002/clc.22759. Epub 2017 Aug 14.

Abstract

Background: CHADS2 (congestive heart failure, hypertension, age ≥ 75 years, diabetes mellitus, stroke) and CHA2 DS2 -VASc (congestive heart failure, hypertension, age ≥ 75 years, diabetes mellitus, stroke, vascular disease, age 65 to 74 years, sex category) scores showed just moderate discrimination ability in predicting thromboembolic complications in patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation (AF).

Hypothesis: To determine the association of antithrombin III (AT-III) deficiency and mean platelet volume (MPV) with the development of stroke or left atrial (LA) thrombus in patients with AF.

Methods: AT-III and MPV were analyzed in 352 patients with AF. The primary endpoint was a composite of ischemic stroke event and incidental LA thrombus.

Results: There were 50 events (14.2%) during a mean 35.4 months of follow-up. A significantly higher stroke or LA thrombus rate was observed in the low-AT-III group (<70%) than that in the high-AT-III group (≥70%). A significantly higher stroke or LA thrombus rate was observed in the high-MPV group (≥7.0 fL) than that in the low-MPV group (<7.0 fL). AF patients with an MPV ≥7.0 fL and AT-III deficiency had higher stroke or LA thrombus risk than those without an MPV ≥7.0 fL and AT-III deficiency. In the Cox proportional hazard analysis, high MPV was found to be an independent predictor of stroke or LA thrombus risk (hazard ratio: 6.408; 95% confidence interval: 2.874-14.286). Although AT-III deficiency was not an independent predictor of stroke or LA thrombus risk, a trend was observed.

Conclusions: High MPV and AT-III deficiency were predictive markers for stroke or LA thrombus. Their predictive power for stroke was independent of antiplatelet treatment, anticoagulation therapy, and a high CHA2 DS2 -VASc score in patients with AF.

Keywords: Antithrombin III; Atrial Fibrillation; Left Atrial Thrombus; Mean Platelet Volume; Stroke.

Publication types

  • Comparative Study
  • Observational Study

MeSH terms

  • Aged
  • Aged, 80 and over
  • Antithrombin III / analysis*
  • Antithrombin III Deficiency / blood*
  • Antithrombin III Deficiency / complications
  • Antithrombin III Deficiency / diagnosis
  • Antithrombin III Deficiency / mortality
  • Atrial Fibrillation / blood*
  • Atrial Fibrillation / complications
  • Atrial Fibrillation / diagnosis
  • Atrial Fibrillation / mortality
  • Biomarkers / blood
  • Blood Platelets / metabolism*
  • Brain Ischemia / blood*
  • Brain Ischemia / diagnosis
  • Brain Ischemia / etiology
  • Brain Ischemia / mortality
  • Disease-Free Survival
  • Echocardiography, Transesophageal
  • Female
  • Humans
  • Kaplan-Meier Estimate
  • Male
  • Mean Platelet Volume*
  • Middle Aged
  • Multidetector Computed Tomography
  • Predictive Value of Tests
  • Proportional Hazards Models
  • Risk Factors
  • Stroke / blood*
  • Stroke / diagnosis
  • Stroke / etiology
  • Stroke / mortality
  • Thrombosis / blood*
  • Thrombosis / diagnosis
  • Thrombosis / etiology
  • Thrombosis / mortality

Substances

  • Biomarkers
  • SERPINC1 protein, human
  • Antithrombin III