Niche shifts and the potential distribution of Phenacoccus solenopsis (Hemiptera: Pseudococcidae) under climate change

PLoS One. 2017 Jul 10;12(7):e0180913. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0180913. eCollection 2017.

Abstract

The cotton mealybug, Phenacoccus solenopsis Tinsley (Hemiptera: Pseudococcidae), is a serious invasive species that significantly damages plants of approximately 60 families around the world. It is originally from North America and has also been introduced to other continents. Our goals were to create a current and future potential global distribution map for this pest under climate change with MaxEnt software. We tested the hypothesis of niche conservatism for P. solenopsis by comparing its native niche in North America to its invasive niches on other continents using Principal components analyses (PCA) in R. The potentially suitable habitat for P. solenopsis in its native and non-native ranges is presented in the present paper. The results suggested that the mean temperature of the wettest quarter and the mean temperature of the driest quarter are the most important environmental variables determining the potential distribution of P. solenopsis. We found strong evidence for niche shifts in the realized climatic niche of this pest in South America and Australia due to niche unfilling; however, a niche shift in the realized climatic niche of this pest in Eurasian owing to niche expansion.

MeSH terms

  • Animals
  • Climate Change*
  • Ecosystem
  • Hemiptera / physiology*
  • Principal Component Analysis
  • Software
  • Temperature

Grants and funding

This project was supported by the National Science Foundation Project of China (no. 31301899 and no. 31501876), supported by Natural Science Foundation of Shanxi (no. 201601D021122) and Shanxi Agricultural University of Science and Technology Innovation fund projects (2015YJ03).