Semiparametric regression on cumulative incidence function with interval-censored competing risks data

Stat Med. 2017 Oct 15;36(23):3683-3707. doi: 10.1002/sim.7350. Epub 2017 Jun 12.

Abstract

Many biomedical and clinical studies with time-to-event outcomes involve competing risks data. These data are frequently subject to interval censoring. This means that the failure time is not precisely observed but is only known to lie between two observation times such as clinical visits in a cohort study. Not taking into account the interval censoring may result in biased estimation of the cause-specific cumulative incidence function, an important quantity in the competing risks framework, used for evaluating interventions in populations, for studying the prognosis of various diseases, and for prediction and implementation science purposes. In this work, we consider the class of semiparametric generalized odds rate transformation models in the context of sieve maximum likelihood estimation based on B-splines. This large class of models includes both the proportional odds and the proportional subdistribution hazard models (i.e., the Fine-Gray model) as special cases. The estimator for the regression parameter is shown to be consistent, asymptotically normal and semiparametrically efficient. Simulation studies suggest that the method performs well even with small sample sizes. As an illustration, we use the proposed method to analyze data from HIV-infected individuals obtained from a large cohort study in sub-Saharan Africa. We also provide the R function ciregic that implements the proposed method and present an illustrative example. Copyright © 2017 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

Keywords: R function; competing risks; cumulative incidence function; interval censoring; semiparametric efficiency.

MeSH terms

  • Africa South of the Sahara / epidemiology
  • Cohort Studies
  • Computer Simulation
  • Data Interpretation, Statistical*
  • Female
  • HIV Infections / epidemiology
  • Humans
  • Incidence
  • Likelihood Functions*
  • Male
  • Odds Ratio
  • Proportional Hazards Models*
  • Regression Analysis
  • Risk Factors