Natural History of Patients Followed Radiographically with Mucinous Cysts of the Pancreas

J Gastrointest Surg. 2017 Oct;21(10):1599-1605. doi: 10.1007/s11605-016-3338-1. Epub 2017 May 17.

Abstract

Objective: The aim of this study was to evaluate the outcome of patients presumed to have mucinous cysts of the pancreas who were initially selected for radiographic surveillance.

Methods: Patients with a pancreatic cyst and a measured cyst fluid carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) ≥192 ng/mL were included. Patients were stratified by those who underwent initial resection and those who were recommended for radiographic surveillance. The natural history of these two groups was examined.

Results: From 1999 to 2014, 227 patients were identified who had a cyst fluid CEA ≥192 ng/mL (median 961, range 192-300,000 ng/mL). Immediate resection was performed on 63 patients (28%). Initial radiographic surveillance was recommended for 164 patients; 87% did not have main pancreatic duct dilation, and 87% met consensus criteria for radiographic surveillance. After a median follow-up of 56 months, 48 of the 164 patients (29%) had undergone resection. Ultimately, there were three cases (2%) of high-grade dysplasia and two cases of invasive carcinoma (1%) within these 164 patients selected for observation. Three of the five cases of either high-grade dysplasia or invasive carcinoma were among the 22 patients followed outside of consensus guidelines.

Conclusions: Appropriately selected patients with mucinous pancreatic cysts can be safely followed with serial surveillance with a low risk of malignant progression.

Keywords: Intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm; Mucinous cyst; Pancreatic cyst; Pancreatic cystic neoplasm.

MeSH terms

  • Adult
  • Aftercare
  • Aged
  • Aged, 80 and over
  • Carcinoembryonic Antigen / metabolism
  • Carcinoma / diagnostic imaging*
  • Cyst Fluid / metabolism
  • Disease Progression
  • Female
  • Humans
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Pancreas / pathology
  • Pancreatectomy
  • Pancreatic Cyst / diagnostic imaging*
  • Pancreatic Cyst / surgery*
  • Pancreatic Neoplasms / diagnostic imaging*
  • Radiography
  • Retrospective Studies
  • Watchful Waiting*

Substances

  • Carcinoembryonic Antigen