Are trait-growth models transferable? Predicting multi-species growth trajectories between ecosystems using plant functional traits

PLoS One. 2017 May 9;12(5):e0176959. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0176959. eCollection 2017.

Abstract

Plant functional traits are increasingly used to generalize across species, however few examples exist of predictions from trait-based models being evaluated in new species or new places. Can we use functional traits to predict growth of unknown species in different areas? We used three independently collected datasets, each containing data on heights of individuals from non-resprouting species over a chronosquence of time-since-fire sites from three ecosystems in south-eastern Australia. We examined the influence of specific leaf area, woody density, seed size and leaf nitrogen content on three aspects of plant growth; maximum relative growth rate, age at maximum growth and asymptotic height. We tested our capacity to perform out-of-sample prediction of growth trajectories between ecosystems using species functional traits. We found strong trait-growth relationships in one of the datasets; whereby species with low SLA achieved the greatest asymptotic heights, species with high leaf-nitrogen content achieved relatively fast growth rates, and species with low seed mass reached their time of maximum growth early. However these same growth-trait relationships did not hold across the two other datasets, making accurate prediction from one dataset to another unachievable. We believe there is evidence to suggest that growth trajectories themselves may be fundamentally different between ecosystems and that trait-height-growth relationships may change over environmental gradients.

MeSH terms

  • Australia
  • Ecosystem*
  • Models, Theoretical*
  • Plant Development*

Grants and funding

FMT is supported by an Australian Postgraduate Award, a Holsworth Wildlife Research Scholarship and top up from Australian Research Council Centre of Excellence in Environmental Decisions (CEED). PAV is supported by CEED. The funders had no role in study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript.