A Mathematical Model of Forager Loss in Honeybee Colonies Infested with Varroa destructor and the Acute Bee Paralysis Virus

Bull Math Biol. 2017 Jun;79(6):1218-1253. doi: 10.1007/s11538-017-0281-6. Epub 2017 Apr 11.

Abstract

We incorporate a mathematical model of Varroa destructor and the Acute Bee Paralysis Virus with an existing model for a honeybee colony, in which the bee population is divided into hive bees and forager bees based on tasks performed in the colony. The model is a system of five ordinary differential equations with dependent variables: uninfected hive bees, uninfected forager bees, infected hive bees, virus-free mites and virus-carrying mites. The interplay between forager loss and disease infestation is studied. We study the stability of the disease-free equilibrium of the bee-mite-virus model and observe that the disease cannot be fought off in the absence of varroacide treatment. However, the disease-free equilibrium can be stable if the treatment is strong enough and also if the virus-carrying mites become virus-free at a rate faster than the mite birth rate. The critical forager loss due to homing failure, above which the colony fails, is calculated using simulation experiments for disease-free, treated and untreated mite-infested, and treated virus-infested colonies. A virus-infested colony without varroacide treatment fails regardless of the forager mortality rate.

Keywords: Acute Bee Paralysis Virus; Forager loss; Homing failure; Honeybees; Mathematical model; Varroa destructor.

MeSH terms

  • Animals
  • Bees*
  • Dicistroviridae / pathogenicity*
  • Feeding Behavior*
  • Models, Theoretical*
  • Population Dynamics
  • Varroidae

Supplementary concepts

  • Acute bee paralysis virus