Comparison of the Efficacy and Safety of Early Rule-Out Pathways for Acute Myocardial Infarction

Circulation. 2017 Apr 25;135(17):1586-1596. doi: 10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.116.025021. Epub 2016 Dec 29.

Abstract

Background: High-sensitivity cardiac troponin assays enable myocardial infarction to be ruled out earlier, but the optimal approach is uncertain. We compared the European Society of Cardiology rule-out pathway with a pathway that incorporates lower cardiac troponin concentrations to risk stratify patients.

Methods: Patients with suspected acute coronary syndrome (n=1218) underwent high-sensitivity cardiac troponin I measurement at presentation and 3 and 6 or 12 hours. We compared the European Society of Cardiology pathway (<99th centile at presentation or at 3 hours if symptoms <6 hours) with a pathway developed in the High-STEACS study (High-Sensitivity Troponin in the Evaluation of Patients With Acute Coronary Syndrome) population (<5 ng/L at presentation or change <3 ng/L and <99th centile at 3 hours). The primary outcome was a comparison of the negative predictive value of both pathways for index type 1 myocardial infarction or type 1 myocardial infarction or cardiac death at 30 days. We evaluated the primary outcome in prespecified subgroups stratified by age, sex, time of symptom onset, and known ischemic heart disease.

Results: The primary outcome occurred in 15.7% (191 of 1218) patients. In those less than the 99th centile at presentation, the European Society of Cardiology pathway ruled out myocardial infarction in 28.1% (342 of 1218) and 78.9% (961 of 1218) at presentation and 3 hours, respectively, missing 18 index and two 30-day events (negative predictive value, 97.9%; 95% confidence interval, 96.9-98.7). The High-STEACS pathway ruled out 40.7% (496 of 1218) and 74.2% (904 of 1218) at presentation and 3 hours, missing 2 index and two 30-day events (negative predictive value, 99.5%; 95% confidence interval, 99.0-99.9; P<0.001 for comparison). The negative predictive value of the High-STEACS pathway was greater than the European Society of Cardiology pathway overall (P<0.001) and in all subgroups, including those presenting early or known to have ischemic heart disease.

Conclusions: Use of the High-STEACS pathway incorporating low high-sensitivity cardiac troponin concentrations rules out myocardial infarction in more patients at presentation and misses 5-fold fewer index myocardial infarctions than guideline-approved pathways based exclusively on the 99th centile.

Clinical trial registration: URL: http://clinicaltrials.gov. Unique identifier: NCT01852123.

Keywords: acute coronary syndrome; biomarkers; myocardial infarction; troponin.

Publication types

  • Comparative Study
  • Observational Study

MeSH terms

  • Acute Coronary Syndrome / blood
  • Acute Coronary Syndrome / diagnosis*
  • Acute Coronary Syndrome / mortality
  • Age Factors
  • Aged
  • Aged, 80 and over
  • Biomarkers / blood
  • Decision Support Techniques*
  • Female
  • Health Status
  • Humans
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Myocardial Infarction / blood
  • Myocardial Infarction / diagnosis*
  • Myocardial Infarction / mortality
  • Predictive Value of Tests
  • Prognosis
  • Risk Assessment
  • Risk Factors
  • Scotland
  • Sex Factors
  • Time Factors
  • Troponin I / blood*
  • Up-Regulation

Substances

  • Biomarkers
  • Troponin I

Associated data

  • ClinicalTrials.gov/NCT01852123