A cognitive prosthesis for complex decision-making

Appl Ergon. 2017 Jan:58:349-360. doi: 10.1016/j.apergo.2016.07.009. Epub 2016 Aug 5.

Abstract

While simple heuristics can be ecologically rational and effective in naturalistic decision making contexts, complex situations require analytical decision making strategies, hypothesis-testing and learning. Sub-optimal decision strategies - using simplified as opposed to analytic decision rules - have been reported in domains such as healthcare, military operational planning, and government policy making. We investigate the potential of a computational toolkit called "IMAGE" to improve decision-making by developing structural knowledge and increasing understanding of complex situations. IMAGE is tested within the context of a complex military convoy management task through (a) interactive simulations, and (b) visualization and knowledge representation capabilities. We assess the usefulness of two versions of IMAGE (desktop and immersive) compared to a baseline. Results suggest that the prosthesis helped analysts in making better decisions, but failed to increase their structural knowledge about the situation once the cognitive prosthesis is removed.

Keywords: Complex decision making; Knowledge representation; Visual analytics.

MeSH terms

  • Artificial Intelligence
  • Cognition*
  • Computer Simulation
  • Data Display
  • Decision Making*
  • Decision Support Techniques*
  • Female
  • Humans
  • Knowledge
  • Learning
  • Male