Background: Organ shortage and waiting list mortality have led to changes in the allocation policy in Eurotransplant.
Aim: To identify factors influencing the survival of liver transplanted patients with model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score of 40.
Patients and methods: Data of listed adult patients who reached a MELD score 40 in the period 12/2006-06/2010 were reviewed. Donor/graft and recipient characteristics, and operative details were analyzed. Statistical analysis encompassed Kaplan-Meier analysis/log-rank test as well as univariate and multivariable regression analyses.
Results: Forty-eight patients achieved a MELD score 40. Thirty patients were transplanted, whereas 18 patients were not. Three-month, 1-year, and 5-year patient and graft survival for transplanted patients was 53, 50, and 47 %, respectively. Three-month and 1-year survival after listing was 11 and 6 % for not transplanted patients, respectively (p < 0.0001). Multivariable analysis revealed pre-operative dialysis (p = 0.0246) and portal vein thrombosis (PVT) (p = 0.0231) to be independent prognostic factors for post-transplant patient survival. A point scoring system was created, which reached statistical significance (p = 0.0007). One-year and 5-year survival for scores 0, 1, and 2 were 72 and 64, 42 and 42 and 0 %, respectively. There was no statistical difference in transplantation costs between patients who survived or died (p = 0.1578).
Conclusions: At our center, coexistence of pre-operative dialysis and PVT represents a clear contraindication for LT regarding MELD score 40 patients.
Keywords: Hospital mortality; Liver transplantation; MELD score; Sickest first policy; Survival benefit.