The Evolving Demographic and Health Transition in Four Low- and Middle-Income Countries: Evidence from Four Sites in the INDEPTH Network of Longitudinal Health and Demographic Surveillance Systems

PLoS One. 2016 Jun 15;11(6):e0157281. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0157281. eCollection 2016.

Abstract

This paper contributes evidence documenting the continued decline in all-cause mortality and changes in the cause of death distribution over time in four developing country populations in Africa and Asia. We present levels and trends in age-specific mortality (all-cause and cause-specific) from four demographic surveillance sites: Agincourt (South Africa), Navrongo (Ghana) in Africa; Filabavi (Vietnam), Matlab (Bangladesh) in Asia. We model mortality using discrete time event history analysis. This study illustrates how data from INDEPTH Network centers can provide a comparative, longitudinal examination of mortality patterns and the epidemiological transition. Health care systems need to be reconfigured to deal simultaneously with continuing challenges of communicable disease and increasing incidence of non-communicable diseases that require long-term care. In populations with endemic HIV, long-term care of HIV patients on ART will add to the chronic care needs of the community.

MeSH terms

  • Adolescent
  • Adult
  • Aged
  • Aged, 80 and over
  • Bangladesh / epidemiology
  • Child
  • Child, Preschool
  • Communicable Diseases / epidemiology*
  • Communicable Diseases / therapy
  • Female
  • Ghana / epidemiology
  • HIV Infections / epidemiology
  • HIV Infections / therapy
  • Health Transition*
  • Humans
  • Incidence
  • Income
  • Infant
  • Infant, Newborn
  • Long-Term Care / methods
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Mortality / trends*
  • Population Surveillance / methods*
  • South Africa / epidemiology
  • Vietnam / epidemiology
  • Young Adult

Grants and funding

This work has been funded by a grant from the Canadian International Development Research Center (IDRC: 105727-001) made to the INDEPTH Network and administrative support from the INDEPTH Network Secretariat.