Role of quasiresonant planetary wave dynamics in recent boreal spring-to-autumn extreme events

Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2016 Jun 21;113(25):6862-7. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1606300113. Epub 2016 Jun 6.

Abstract

In boreal spring-to-autumn (May-to-September) 2012 and 2013, the Northern Hemisphere (NH) has experienced a large number of severe midlatitude regional weather extremes. Here we show that a considerable part of these extremes were accompanied by highly magnified quasistationary midlatitude planetary waves with zonal wave numbers m = 6, 7, and 8. We further show that resonance conditions for these planetary waves were, in many cases, present before the onset of high-amplitude wave events, with a lead time up to 2 wk, suggesting that quasiresonant amplification (QRA) of these waves had occurred. Our results support earlier findings of an important role of the QRA mechanism in amplifying planetary waves, favoring recent NH weather extremes.

Keywords: atmospheric dynamics; heat waves; planetary waves; waveguides; weather extremes.